Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadi de la FAF (Encamp)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	FC Andorra		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.65	Watch
	2.02	3.61	3.88
	2.01	3.65	3.54	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.98	3.64	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.46)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	3.68 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
47.9%

Draw
26.6%

Málaga
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

26.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Andorra's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Andorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

FC Andorra - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Málaga will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andorra: 16.4% – 50.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Málaga (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Owono J. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Alonso G. 23. Alende D. (C) 19. Garcia I. 8. Akman E. 18. Domenech M. 6. Villahermosa D. 11. Lauti 3. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cerda J.	1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 31. Rafita 24. Lobete J. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 37. Rodriguez R. 17. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
10. Alvaro 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 22. Cardona M. 16. Jastin G. 24. Le Normand T. 9. Nieto M. 15. Olabarrieta A. 2. Petxa A. 1. Ratti N. (G) 20. Vila M.	5. Brasanac D. 9. Chupe 25. Dorrio J. 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 36. Recio A. 6. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.
Coaches
Manso C.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Murillo D. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
45+3', Alonso G. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Jauregi E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rafita ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
46', Garcia I. ↓, Vila M. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Cerda J. ⚽, Carrique T. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Cerda J. ⚽,
63', Vila M. 🟨,
64', Jauregi E. ↓, Chupe ↑,
64', Munoz J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
68', Lobete J. ↓, Larrubia D. ↑,
69', Cerda J. ↓, Nieto M. ↑,
69', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Jastin G. ↑,
71', Dorrio J. 🟨,
73', Rodriguez R. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
77', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
77', Alende D. 🟨,
80', 3 - 2, Lauti ⚽,
81', Akman E. ↓, Le Normand T. ↑,
82', 3 - 3, Montero J. ⚽, Dorrio J. (A),
90+1', Le Normand T. 🟨,
90+6', Murillo D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Andorra: Gonzalez E. (Muscle Injury) Kim M. (International duty) Yaakobishvili A. (International duty)

There will not play in Málaga: Dotor C. (Shoulder Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Hamstring Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (International duty) Ochoa A. (International duty) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Andorra: Calvo A. (Hamstring Injury) Molina S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Ankle Injury) Puga C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Andorra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Andorra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	12:15	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

FC Andorra - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.4%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Málaga - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.26	Leonesa - FC Andorra	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	FC Andorra - Eibar	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Granada - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Córdoba - FC Andorra	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLTWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.26	Málaga - Leganés	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cádiz - Málaga	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Málaga - Huesca	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Granada - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Málaga - FC Andorra	4:1
02.04.23	FC Andorra - Málaga	1:0
09.10.22	Málaga - FC Andorra	0:0

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