Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Sweden	CMore Fotboll
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Deportivo Alavés		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.6	5.25
	1.72	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.72	3.73	5.5
	1.71	3.75	5.56
	1.65	3.7	5
	1.72	3.7	5.2	Watch
	1.72	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	3.67 ↑ (3.62)	5.33 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
56%

Draw
26%

Granada
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Deportivo Alavés - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 48 - 75%). Granada will win (votes: 8 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 64.4% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 5. Abqar A. 16. Marin R. 27. Lopez J. 8. Blanco A. 6. Guevara A. 21. Rebbach A. 18. Guridi J. 11. Rioja L. (C) 32. Omorodion S.	13. Ferreira A. (G) 3. Manafa W. 14. Miquel I. 28. Torrent R. 15. Neva C. (C) 24. Villar G. 23. Gumbau G. 21. Melendo O. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L. 33. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
17. Alkain X. 23. Benavidez C. 3. Duarte R. 15. Garcia K. 44. Gonzalez V. P. 10. Hagi I. 9. Karrikaburu J. 19. Maras N. 31. Owono J. (G) 33. Rodriguez A. (G) 7. Sola A. 14. Tenaglia N.	32. Bosch M. 9. Callejon J. 16. Diaz V. 19. Diedhiou F. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 31. Lopez A. (G) 18. Petrovic N. 10. Puertas A. 20. Ruiz S. 12. Sanchez R. 17. Weissman S.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Lopez P.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1.

Recent matches Alavés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Granada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Alavés have a series of guest games.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

There will not play in Alavés: Sedlar A. (Injury) Simeone G. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Granada: Zaragoza B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Granada: Rubio M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
12.11.23	Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Almería	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Deportivo Murcia - Deportivo Alavés	0:10 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
11.11.23	Granada - Getafe	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Valencia - Granada	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Arosa - Granada	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.23	Granada - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
20.10.23	Osasuna - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.05.23	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	1:1
02.12.22	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
19.03.22	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	2:3
03.12.21	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
16.05.21	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	4:2
20.09.20	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
01.07.20	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	0:2

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