Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Valencia		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.63	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4.26	5.8
	1.64	4.26	5.4
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.59	4.25	5.55	Watch
	1.61	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	4.16 ↑ (4.02)	5.54 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
59.6%

Draw
23.1%

Granada
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

21.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.3%	6.3%	6.3%

Valencia - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: Valencia will win (55 of 63 users predict this - 87.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.08% – 95.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Correia T. 5. Gabriel Paulista 3. Mosquera C. 14. Gaya J. (C) 23. Perez F. 8. Guerra J. 18. Pepelu 16. Lopez D. 9. Duro H. 19. Amallah S.	13. Ferreira A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 14. Miquel I. 28. Torrent R. 15. Neva C. (C) 24. Villar G. 23. Gumbau G. 21. Melendo O. 26. Zaragoza B. 7. Boye L. 11. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
7. Canos S. 1. Domenech J. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 34. Gasiorowski Y. 30. Gonzalez H. 27. Gozalbez P. 6. Guillamon H. 13. Rivero C. (G) 29. Tarrega C. 17. Yaremchuk R.	32. Bosch M. 9. Callejon J. 33. Carreras A. 16. Diaz V. 19. Diedhiou F. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Manafa W. 22. Perea A. 18. Petrovic N. 10. Puertas A. 20. Ruiz S. 17. Weissman S.
Coaches
Baraja R.	Lopez P.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Valencia have a series of guest games.

In this match Valencia is a favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Diakhaby M. (Thigh Injury) Mari A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Granada: Rubio M. (Ankle Injury) Vallejo J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Almeida A. (Injury) Duro H. (Broken collarbone) Vazquez J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Fernandez R. (Hand Injury)

Last 21 head-to-head matches Valencia won 14 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 38-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	UD Logroñés - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	2:2 ✺
23.10.23	Valencia - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Betis - Valencia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTL
- Granada CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Arosa - Granada	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.23	Granada - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
20.10.23	Osasuna - Granada	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Granada - Barcelona	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Almería - Granada	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.03.22	Valencia - Granada	3:1
21.08.21	Granada - Valencia	1:1
21.03.21	Valencia - Granada	2:1
30.12.20	Granada - Valencia	2:1
04.07.20	Granada - Valencia	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.20	Granada - Valencia	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.19	Valencia - Granada	2:0

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