Match Info

Primera B - Round 36

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Merlo		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.80
	2.45	2.72	2.85	Watch
	2.57	2.82	3.04
	2.55	2.74	2.98	Watch
	2.5	2.5	2.95
	2.54	2.62	2.91
	2.47	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.71)	2.7 ↓ (2.72)	2.91 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
35.9%

Draw
33.3%

Deportivo Flandria
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 4. Alfieri L. 5. Benitez F. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 2. Figueredo L. 6. Minnicelli A. 11. Paez A. M. 10. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I. 3. Velasco A.	1. Ramos D. (G) 4. Correa M. 10. Costa F. 11. De La Riva R. 8. Dulon A. 5. Gonzalez B. 7. Lopez M. 6. Mariatti M. 9. Mendoza J. 2. Nalerio A. 3. Spitale D.
Substitutes
13. Barrientos L. 15. Busto J. 16. Cabrera D. 19. Gugenheim C. 17. Hernandez R. 20. Linas M. 18. Maguicha D. 14. Miguez L. 12. Ratti V. (G)	19. Calabria G. 17. Casal A. 20. Donato M. 18. Jaureguiberrey M. 16. Prokop A. 14. Real F. 13. Ruiz F. 12. Szalich L. (G) 15. Vasconcelo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Ramos D. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Sandoval I. (Penalty Awarded),
12', Mendoza J. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Spitale D. ↓, Real F. ↑,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Quinteros E. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
46', Mariatti M. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
59', Alfieri L. 🟨,
66', Costa F. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
66', Lopez M. ↓, Jaureguiberrey M. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Da Rosa J. E. ⚽,
74', Paez A. M. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
74', Benitez F. ↓, Busto J. ↑,
74', Dulon A. ↓, Prokop A. ↑,
80', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Mendoza J. ⚽,
89', Ruiz F. 🟨,
90', Ruiz F. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th and 18th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Deportivo Merlo (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Flandria have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 1.1:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Merlo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44
20	Flandria	38	10	9	19	34:48	-14	39

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Flandria - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.02%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
13.09.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Merlo - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera B
13.09.26	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Camioneros	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Flandria	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Flandria - Liniers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.05.26	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	2:0
26.07.25	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	1:1
08.03.25	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	0:0
03.08.24	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	3:0
17.03.24	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	0:2
21.08.21	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Flandria	0:0
11.04.21	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Merlo	2:3

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