Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Villa San Carlos		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	2.7	2.9	2.75	Watch
	2.71	2.82	2.88
	2.6	2.88	2.62
	2.65	2.95	2.74
	2.7	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.49)	2.85 ↓ (3.05)	2.71 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa San Carlos
34.2%

Draw
32%

San Miguel
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

30%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

29.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa San Carlos's performance.

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa San Carlos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa San Carlos - San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa San Carlos won 1.

Villa San Carlos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Miguel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villa San Carlos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa San Carlos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
17.09.23	Colegiales - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Quilmes	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Los Andes - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Armenio	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTLT
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
23.09.23	San Miguel - Colegiales	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Argentino de Quilmes - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	San Miguel - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Deportivo Armenio - San Miguel	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
28.05.23	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	1:0
17.07.22	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	0:2
20.03.22	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	2:1
24.10.21	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	4:2
26.06.21	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	1:0
09.02.20	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	1:2
26.08.19	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	0:1

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