The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Italiano 42.3%
Draw 32.5%
Deportivo Flandria 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
30.4%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
29.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Flandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 8. Centurion F. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gimenez K. 9. Guzman M. 7. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 11. Molina F. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
1. Morel C. (G) 10. Costa F. 11. De La Riva R. 8. Dulon A. 5. Gonzalez B. 6. Lopez M. 7. Lopez M. 9. Mendoza J. 2. Nalerio A. 4. Real F. 3. Spitale D.
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G) 19. Caceres P. 20. D'Acquila J. 15. Daivez A. 18. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 14. Durante P. 16. Fortino R. 17. Hirigoyen T.
19. Calabria G. 17. Casal A. 14. Correa M. 18. Diosquez N. 20. Donato M. 13. Mariatti M. 16. Prokop A. 12. Szalich L. (G) 15. Vasconcelo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, De La Riva R. ⚽,
26', Mendoza J. 🟨,
28', Lopez M. 🟨,
45+1', Real F. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Rivero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Gimenez K. ⚽,
64', Lopez M. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
71', 🟨,
80', Gimenez K. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
80', Laborda L. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Sportivo Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sportivo Italiano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
20
Flandria
38
10
9
19
34:48
-14
39
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Flandria - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.2%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.