Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Deportivo Cali		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.4
	1.76	3.4	5	Watch
	1.76	3.31	5.13	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.8
	1.77	3.4	4.98	Watch
	1.76	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	4.87 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
52.3%

Draw
28.5%

Deportivo La Equidad
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 3. Juan Quintero (C) 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 6. Mejia V. 5. Bustamante R. 7. Barrera J. 33. Galindo J. 8. Castillo F. 9. Rodriguez E.	12. Perez A. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 4. Tegue G. 24. Montano B. 14. Acosta F. 6. Orozco S. 3. Correa A. (C) 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 9. Renan Oliveira 16. Mayo S.
Substitutes
13. Angulo J. 17. Arango J. 46. Cabal J. 16. Corujo G. 30. Gordillo Y. 22. Guruceaga G. (G) 10. Javier Reina	27. Caicedo B. 28. Chaverra F. 10. Cruz W. 7. Del Valle A. 25. Lopez S. 2. Polanco D. 1. Varela C. (G)
Coaches
Arias A.	Mahecha J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
28', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
33', Mejia V. 🟨,
41', Rodriguez E. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Juan Quintero ⚽, Barrera J. (A),
45+2', Orozco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mejia V. ↓, Gordillo Y. ↑,
46', Galindo J. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Cabal J. ⚽, Castillo F. (A),
65', Juan Quintero 🟨,
65', Renan Oliveira ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
65', Mayo S. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
70', Angel Amaya Pena M. 🟨,
71', Castillo F. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
72', Barrera J. 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Javier Reina ⚽,
77', Correa A. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
77', Lopez S. ↓, Cruz W. ↑,
79', Cabal J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+4', Cruz W. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 0.

Recent matches Deportivo Cali is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

La Equidad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Deportivo Cali is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:19 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
29.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
24.03.25	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
10.03.25	Deportivo Cali - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
03.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTTT
- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
31.03.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Llaneros SA - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.09.24	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1
08.03.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali	2:0
19.09.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali	1:1
08.04.23	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0
26.09.22	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2
01.04.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali	0:0
09.10.21	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo La Equidad	2:2

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