Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino, SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Cali		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.50	5.25	Watch
	1.70	3.50	4.50
	1.68	3.60	5.25	Watch
	1.74	3.59	5.43
	1.73	3.49	5	Watch
	1.69	3.50	5.35
	1.72	3.42	4.85	Watch
	1.72	3.50	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	5.04 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
54.8%

Draw
26.6%

Rionegro Águilas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

26.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 4. Alvarez F. 28. Velasco E. 19. Martinez J. 15. Chaverra L. 5. Cuellar G. (C) 20. Bello E. 23. Titi 10. Reynoso E.	1. Soto J. (G) 19. Lozano F. (C) 4. Mosquera A. 3. Ontaneda J. 32. Mena J. 29. Blandon T. 6. Rojas I. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 8. Ricaurte A. 7. Arizalas E. 9. Vasquez A.
Substitutes
70. Bacca C. 29. Caicedo K. 9. Dinenno J. 8. Giraldo D. 14. Manyoma A. 32. Mondragon S. (G) 2. Moya J. 16. Sandoval K. 26. Tello J.	34. Arango H. (G) 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 20. Higgins A. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 21. Marquez R. 13. Melendez J. 10. Noguera J. 16. Ramirez M.
Coaches
Dudamel R.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Viafara F. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Bello E. ⚽, Chaverra L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Bello E. ⚽, Alvarez F. (A),
61', Cuellar G. 🟨,
63', Arizalas E. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
63', Vasquez A. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
64', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
65', Viafara F. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
65', Martinez J. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
71', Velasco E. 🟨,
77', Reynoso E. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
79', Ricaurte A. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
84', Velasco E. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
84', Bello E. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
84', Blandon T. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
90+2', Melendez J. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 0.

Deportivo Cali is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rionegro Águilas is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Deportivo Cali has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Deportivo Cali is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:28 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	12	7	3	2	20:9	11	24
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Cali - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.04%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
22.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
07.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWTL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
23.09.26	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
29.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	2:1
28.09.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	3:1
11.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
13.10.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	1:1
31.03.24	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:4
06.12.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	3:1
13.11.23	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:1

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