Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 24

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Deportivo Capiatá		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.58
	2.54	3.05	2.65
	2.64	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.1
	2.59	2.99	2.57
	2.27	2.9	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.81 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Capiatá
36.8%

Draw
30.7%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

32.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Capiatá will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

Deportivo Capiatá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo Capiatá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Capiatá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.08.25	Guarani de Fram - Deportivo Capiatá	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Deportivo Capiatá - River Plate Asunción	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Pastoreo	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWT
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.08.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guarani de Fram - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:0 ✺
04.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Capiatá	0:2

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