Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - APERTURA - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Coatepeque		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.78	2.99	2.61
	2.78	2.99	2.61
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.67	3.2	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.27)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.5 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Coatepeque
33.9%

Draw
29.6%

Antigua GFC
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Coatepeque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Coatepeque's form might have worsened.

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Coatepeque than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Coatepeque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antigua GFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Coatepeque - Antigua GFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Rivas L. (G) . Betancourt S. . Chinchilla C. . Diaz O. . Diaz W. . Galvez Carrera L. R. . Ochaeta D. . Rosas Cabrera P. A. . Solares C. . Techera M. . Zamorano A.	. Moran L. (G) . Ardon J. . Bradley D. . Carbonell J. . Castellanos O. . de L. B. . Grijalva K. . Jimenez C. . Macareno K. . Sagastume S. . Santis O.
Substitutes
. Adolfo L. . Alvarado J. . Estrada Solorzano L. F. . Guzman A. (G) . Lang D. . Ordonez D. . Palma J. . Valeriano O.	. da Silva R. . Franco J. . Galvez J. . Grajeda J. . Hernandez C. . Mejia C. . Navas D. (G) . Robinson A. . Vasquez G.

Preview

Recent matches Coatepeque is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Antigua is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antigua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Coatepeque have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Coatepeque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Coatepeque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Coatepeque
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.11.23	Deportivo Coatepeque - Deportivo Zacapa	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Coatepeque	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Coatepeque	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Deportivo Coatepeque - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Deportivo Coatepeque - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.11.23	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	4:2 ✺
27.10.23	Antigua GFC - Cobán Imperial	2:2 ✺
20.10.23	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.03.15	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Coatepeque	1:0
18.01.15	Deportivo Coatepeque - Antigua GFC	0:1
29.10.14	Deportivo Coatepeque - Antigua GFC	0:2
10.08.14	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Coatepeque	1:1

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