Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	ESPN 3, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter


	Deportivo Cuenca		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.48	3.75	6.2
	1.54	4	6.44	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.55	3.94	6.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	3.83 ↑ (3.67)	6.35 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
61%

Draw
24.3%

Deportivo Recoleta
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Cuenca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 23. Guevara E. 6. Postel S. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 30. Maccari M. (C) 14. Chacon J. 20. Garcia B. 8. Vega E. 49. Gonzalez D. 43. Ordonez J.	12. Ferreira N. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 3. Cardozo L. (C) 25. Mosquera D. 10. Noguera J. 38. Franco A. 7. Dominguez R. 18. Rios P. 17. Baez W. 29. Wlk A.
Substitutes
37. Arboleda C. 19. Diaz M. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N. 25. Lopez A. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G. 50. Siguenza M.	20. Canete M. 6. Espinola J. 36. Ferreira B. 8. Galeano F. 33. Gonzalez A. 15. Medina B. 32. Monzon L. 9. Ortiz R. 11. Parzajuk K. 4. Pereira M. 13. Toledo O. (G) 24. Vidal T.
Coaches
Celico J.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Rios P. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Cardozo L. (Own goal),
38', 1 - 2, Noguera J. ⚽, Dominguez R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vega E. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
56', 2 - 2, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
63', Baez W. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
63', Wlk A. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
71', Noguera J. 🟨,
74', Chacon J. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
80', Dominguez R. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
81', Mosquera I. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
85', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
86', Klimowicz M. 🟨,
87', Ferreira B. 🟨,
88', Garcia B. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
88', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Arboleda C. ↑,
88', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
88', Noguera J. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,

Preview

Deportivo Cuenca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recoleta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is considered a favorite.

We predict that Deportivo Cuenca will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Cuenca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTWT
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Santos	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0

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