Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Opsina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Paramount+, SBT
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Santos		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8	Watch
	1.35	5	8.25
	1.37	4.25	8.3	Watch
	1.37	4.9	9.04
	1.36	5.08	8.38	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.4	5.2	8.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	4.79 ↓ (5.07)	8.34 ↑ (7.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
68.9%

Draw
19.8%

Deportivo Cuenca
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

18.3%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

18%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Santos - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Santos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 98. Frias A. 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 15. Willian Arao 48. Gustavo Henrique 49. Gabriel Bontempo 30. Miguelito 22. Barreal A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa (C)	1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 28. Boolsen P. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 30. Maccari M. (C) 8. Vega E. 43. Ordonez J. 11. Rivero G. 37. Arboleda C.
Substitutes
19. Diaz L. 1. Diogenes (G) 42. Joao Alencar 26. Joao Ananias 79. Joao Lucio (G) 21. Moises 81. Pierri S. 8. Rincon T. 7. Robinho Jr. 11. Rony 2. Ze Ivaldo	14. Chacon J. 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 23. Guevara E. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N. 25. Lopez A. 7. Mancinelli L. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 6. Postel S.
Coaches
Cuca	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Igor Vinicius (A),
16', Boolsen P. 🟨,
26', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
43', Frias A. 🟨,
45+6', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maccari M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
46', Arboleda C. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
46', Rivero G. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
46', Mosquera I. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Ferrero F. (Own goal),
56', 3 - 0, Gabriel Bontempo ⚽, Gabriel Barbosa (A),
60', Luan Peres 🟨,
64', Chacon J. 🟨,
67', Ordonez J. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
67', Miguelito ↓, Rony ↑,
68', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
71', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Pierri S. ↑,
74', Piedra M. 🟨,
82', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Moises ↑,
83', Barreal A. ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
90+7', Leguizamon N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Cuenca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santos is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Grêmio - Santos	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Santos - San Lorenzo	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Santos - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Coritiba - Santos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Recoleta	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Santos	1:0

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