Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 15

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Cuenca		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.39
	3.16	3.02	2.41	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.07	3.13	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.82)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)	2.31 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
30.3%

Draw
29.8%

LDU Quito
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

31.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 28. Boolsen P. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 2. Mosquera I. 8. Vega E. 30. Maccari M. (C) 20. Garcia B. 49. Gonzalez D. 29. Klimowicz M. 43. Ordonez J.	1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 44. Segovia L. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 15. Villamil G. 5. Minda K. 99. Luna Tobar C. 26. Caicedo J. 9. Medina J. 7. Redes R.
Substitutes
37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 19. Diaz M. 23. Guevara E. 9. Leguizamon N. 25. Lopez A. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 6. Postel S. 11. Rivero G. 13. Valencia J.	10. Alvarado A. 20. Cornejo F. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Estrada M. 32. Gomez A. 27. Mina R. 3. Mina R. 8. Pretell J. 33. Quinonez L. 23. Quinonez Y. 14. Quintero J.
Coaches
Celico J.	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ade R. 🟨,
17', Medina J. 🟨,
29', Medina J. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
46', Mosquera I. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Piedra M. 🟨,
55', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
55', Ade R. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
61', Garcia B. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
61', Gonzalez D. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
63', Mina R. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Ordonez J. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Klimowicz M. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Redes R. ⚽, Allala Menendez G. F. (A),
74', Quinonez L. 🟨,
84', Minda K. ↓, Pretell J. ↑,
88', Ordonez J. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:40. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Recoleta	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTW
- LDU Quito
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	LDU Quito - Lanús	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	LDU Quito - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
12.11.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.07.25	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2
29.03.25	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:2
01.12.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	5:0
Ecuadorian Copa
28.08.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.24	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	2:2
07.08.23	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0

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