The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guayaquil City 41.5%
Draw 30.6%
Deportivo Cuenca 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
31.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
31.8%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. (C) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 20. Laurino S. 14. Arroyo D. 70. Mancilla P. 10. Diaz D. 11. Mero E. 80. Gonzalez P.
1. Ferrero F. (G) 28. Boolsen P. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 6. Postel S. 2. Mosquera I. 8. Vega E. 30. Maccari M. (C) 20. Garcia B. 19. Diaz M. 43. Ordonez J. 11. Rivero G.
Substitutes
21. Andrade J. M. 51. Cabezas E. 8. Humanante J. 5. Julio M. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 19. Naula A. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 24. Plada G. 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.
37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 49. Gonzalez D. 23. Guevara E. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 50. Siguenza M. 13. Valencia J.
Coaches
Gavilanez P.
Celico J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Postel S. 🟨,
40', Laurino S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Garcia B. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
64', Napa G. ↓, Perea R. ↑,
71', Rivero G. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
71', Diaz M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
73', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
73', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
82', Vega E. 🟨,
87', Ordonez J. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
88', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
88', Laurino S. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Klimowicz M. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 1.
Guayaquil City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Cuenca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guayaquil City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Guayaquil City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).