Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Deportivo Cuenca		Olmedo

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7	Watch
	1.34	4.4	8
	1.37	4.3	6.75
	1.35	4.5	7.4
	1.37	5.04	8.24
	1.33	4.4	8
	1.38	4.75	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)	4.51 ↑ (4.1)	7.64 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
67.6%

Draw
20.3%

Olmedo
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

18.8%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Olmedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16).

Recent matches Deportivo Cuenca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olmedo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olmedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Cuenca is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.09.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	2:3 ✺
22.08.21	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	3:3 ✺
06.08.21	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTW
- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.09.21	Olmedo - Mushuc Runa	2:5 ✺
27.08.21	Emelec - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
21.08.21	Olmedo - Técnico Universitario	0:0 ✺
16.08.21	Olmedo - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
09.08.21	Deportivo Macará - Olmedo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.04.21	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2
11.12.20	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1
02.10.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	Olmedo awarded
13.09.19	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	2:1
19.04.19	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
05.11.14	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	3:1
01.10.14	Olmedo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:2

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