Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 24

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Cuenca		Manta

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5	Watch
	1.60	3.50	4.80
	1.58	3.55	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.51	5.51
	1.67	3.58	5.45	Watch
	1.69	3.4	5.45
	1.66	3.55	5.34	Watch
	1.58	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	3.52 ↓ (3.54)	5.31 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
56.3%

Draw
26.3%

Manta
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

26%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

19.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Deportivo Cuenca - Manta Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Cuenca will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 23. Guevara E. 3. Nardelli G. 18. Piedra M. 37. Arboleda C. 8. Vega E. 30. Maccari M. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 11. Rivero G.	1. Chavez W. (C) 23. Medina A. 21. Ortiz M. 24. Moscarelli O. 31. Mina G. 5. Ramirez B. 27. Troya J. 70. Nazareno J. 10. Burbano R. 19. Alman J. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
88. Benalcazar C. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 21. Jimenez M. 25. Lopez A. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 5. Noboa D. 43. Ordonez J. 6. Postel S. 15. Solis Jaramillo M. A.	11. Asagidigbi F. 33. Castillo A. 20. Chala J. 7. Chala W. 6. Jimenez J. 14. Mina J. 4. Nazareno J. 8. Valencia M. 55. Verges J. 12. Zambrano F. (G)
Coaches
Neculman D.	Mero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Nazareno J. ⚽, Burbano R. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Mancinelli L. ⚽, Maccari M. (A),
45+4', Nazareno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Rivero G. ↓, Benalcazar C. ↑,
71', Mina G. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
71', Blanco J. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
73', Gonzalez D. ↓, Solis Jaramillo M. A. ↑,
75', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Verges J. ⚽, Alman J. (A),
86', Diaz M. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
88', Burbano R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
88', Troya J. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
90+5', Alman J. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 5.

Recent form of Deportivo Cuenca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Manta is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.08.26	Manta - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.07.26	Técnico Universitario - Manta	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Manta - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.26	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1
23.08.25	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1
02.05.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	2:0
Ecuadorian Copa
21.07.24	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:3
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.08.21	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:0
07.03.21	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0
01.11.14	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1

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