The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona Guayaquil 57.8%
Draw 26.1%
Deportivo Cuenca 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
23.7%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
22.2%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona Guayaquil's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 16. Cano L. 35. Intriago J. 51. Wila J. 63. Caidedo K.
1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. (C) 28. Boolsen P. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 30. Maccari M. 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 10. Ibarra R. 29. Klimowicz M.
Substitutes
66. Bucaram A. 54. Castaneda N. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 50. Garcia J. 17. Gaspar D. 20. Medina C. 29. Medina J. 70. Mejia M. 25. Perlaza R. 45. Preciado P. 4. Vallecilla G. 27. Vargas W.
37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 7. Mancinelli L. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 2. Mosquera I. 11. Rivero G. 8. Vega E.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.
Celico J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Boolsen P. (Own goal),
32', Piedra M. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diaz M. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
65', Baez J. ↓, Vallecilla G. ↑,
70', Wila J. ↓, Perlaza R. ↑,
70', Caidedo K. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
70', Garcia B. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
70', Ibarra R. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
78', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
81', Maccari M. 🟨,
84', Lopez A. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
84', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Arboleda C. ↑,
86', Cano L. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
90+1', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
Barcelona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Cuenca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.
In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 2.3:0.7).
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Contreras J. (G) 
Carabali B. 
Baez J. 
Lugo M. 
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