Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 20

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Cuenca		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.20	2.32	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.30
	2.88	3.20	2.38	Watch
	3.06	3.32	2.44
	3.03	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.35
	2.93	3.23	2.40	Watch
	2.90	3.10	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
31.7%

Draw
28.9%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 23. Guevara E. 3. Nardelli G. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 8. Vega E. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 49. Gonzalez D. 14. Chacon J. 43. Ordonez J. 29. Klimowicz M.	12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 30. Mejia E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 9. Londono A. 5. Cacciabue J. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
37. Arboleda C. 19. Diaz M. 10. Ibarra R. 25. Lopez A. 30. Maccari M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 18. Piedra M. 6. Postel S. 11. Rivero G.	29. Anangono G. 20. Chala J. 1. Cueva L. (G) 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 22. Romo R. (G) 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Celico J.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Arboleda C. ↑,
46', Chacon J. ↓, Maccari M. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Alonso M. ⚽,
54', Gonzalez D. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
55', Martinez F. 🟨,
64', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
64', Diaz M. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
65', Martinez F. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
69', Klimowicz M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
69', Vega E. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
81', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
89', Mejia E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.

Deportivo Cuenca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.07.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.06.26	La Unión - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLW
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Leones del Norte - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
28.05.26	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0
28.09.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
01.06.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:1
18.08.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2
17.03.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	3:3
06.10.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3
06.05.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0

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