Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 18

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Cuenca		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.40
	2.65	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.97	3.10	2.69
	2.77	3.24	2.54	Watch
	2.90	2.90	2.65
	2.82	3.10	2.56	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.65)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.54 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
33.5%

Draw
29.9%

SD Aucas
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 8. Vega E. 30. Maccari M. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 20. Garcia B. 49. Gonzalez D. 11. Rivero G.	13. Piedra H. (C) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 2. Morales S. 28. Quinonez R. 14. Tapiero S. 33. Porozo S. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 10. Preciado E. 29. Arroyo L.
Substitutes
37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 19. Diaz M. 10. Ibarra R. 29. Klimowicz M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I.	11. Bolanos R. 1. Chaves I. (G) 51. Cortez A. 5. Serpa T. 36. Sotomayor N. 57. Vera M.
Coaches
Celico J.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lopez A. (Own goal),
11', Piedra M. 🟨,
33', Garcia B. 🟨,
40', Garcia B. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
58', Tapiero S. 🟨,
65', Porozo S. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
69', Rivero G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
69', Mancinelli L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
72', Maccari M. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
80', Preciado E. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
80', Guzman P. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
89', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
90+1', Boolsen P. 🟨,
90+3', Quinonez R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3.

Deportivo Cuenca is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aucas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.06.26	La Unión - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Santos - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.07.26	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	SD Aucas - Manta	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.05.26	San Antonio - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.03.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1
30.11.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
25.10.25	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	1:2
Ecuadorian Copa
10.09.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:2 penalties
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.06.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:3
21.02.25	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	2:0
29.09.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:4

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