Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Deportivo Flandria		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.1
	3.2	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.31	3.41	2.23
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.25	3.3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (4.07)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.16 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Flandria
28.4%

Draw
28.3%

San Martín de San Juan
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

29.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Flandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Flandria's performance.

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Flandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Flandria will win (votes: 2 - 25%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Martín: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan M. (C) 4. Broggi C. 2. Gomez F. 6. Raggio E. 3. Murillo F. 7. Rivadero M. 5. Nalerio A. 8. Gonzalez A. E. 10. Seimandi L. 11. Tisera F. 9. Comachi M.	1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Masuero A. 6. Aguirre A. (C) 3. Bontempo L. 5. Pelaitay N. 8. Blanco J. 9. Llano Massa M. T. 7. Arturia M. 11. Vega A. 10. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
13. Camacho A. 18. Fernandez M. 14. Ford J. 20. Gagliardi A. 15. Maimo A. 16. Papa G. 12. Ramos D. 19. Torres J. 17. Zotta L.	17. Alvarez L. 12. Bonansea F. (G) 19. Donato M. 18. Espejo L. 20. Gordillo L. 16. Grahl F. 13. Heredia A. 15. Sotomayor J. 14. Tejada N.
Coaches
Diaz W.	Monasterio C.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

San Martín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Martín will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Flandria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.10.23	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
29.09.23	Deportivo Flandria - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Flandria	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Flandria - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLWL
- San Martín de San Juan
Copa Argentina
10.10.23	San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.09.23	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores Unidos	3:2 ✺
24.09.23	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
20.09.23	Club Almagro - San Martín de San Juan	0:3 ✺
15.09.23	San Martín de San Juan - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Flandria	2:0
02.04.22	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de San Juan	4:0

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