Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 5

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Lopez P. (Per)


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.7
	1.76	3.63	4.68
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.95)	3.55 ↑ (3.44)	4.56 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
53.7%

Draw
26%

Universidad César Vallejo
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

28.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad César Vallejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 21. Perleche E. 4. Caicedo L. 13. Lojas J. 7. Gomez A. 16. Beltran C. 14. Diez C. 18. Ramirez E. 10. Chicaiza L. 27. Bazan J. 30. Simisterra R.	1. Grados C. (G) 32. Madrid J. 19. Ascues C. 6. Perea G. 14. Cabello C. 7. Barreto O. 88. Ballon J. 13. Barreto G. 10. Velez J. (C) 20. Noronha O. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
22. Canales E. 6. Cuero J. 11. Gentile G. 31. Gonzales E. 24. Gordillo A. 34. Marmanillo M. (G) 17. Rodriguez P. 2. Salazar A. 8. Ventura F.	44. Benavente C. 33. Benitez E. 21. Carvallo J. (G) 23. Da Silva P. 5. Deneumostier A. 24. Olaya S. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 27. Ramirez A. 8. Ysique F.
Coaches
Redin B.	Mosquera R.

Preview

Deportivo Garcilaso is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Garcilaso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Garcilaso is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
17.02.24	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Sport Boys - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	0:2 ✺
26.01.24	Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Orense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
18.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
22.01.24	Defensor Sporting - Universidad César Vallejo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.08.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0
10.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:0

Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide