Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 20

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Deportivo Iztapa

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.4	4	5.8
	1.38	4.64	7.76
	1.49	4.1	5.85	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.19 ↑ (3.6)	6.1 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
63.3%

Draw
21.8%

Deportivo Iztapa
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

15.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Iztapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Guastatoya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Iztapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Iztapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guastatoya won 3.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Deportivo Iztapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guastatoya have a series of guest games.

In this match Guastatoya is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Guastatoya won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Guastatoya won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:2 ✺
12.04.23	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Comunicaciones	1:5 ✺
15.04.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	5:2 ✺
09.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Cobán Imperial	0:3 ✺
05.04.23	Malacateco - Deportivo Iztapa	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.02.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
20.11.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1
11.09.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Iztapa	3:0
13.03.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	4:0
16.01.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Iztapa	3:0
09.10.21	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
08.08.21	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Iztapa	1:0

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