Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 7

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Bismark S. (Col)


	Deportivo La Equidad		Patriotas

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	5	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.84	3.25	4.8
	1.81	3.26	5.66
	1.73	3.3	4.33
	1.81	3.21	4.65	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.8)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	4.77 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Equidad
51.7%

Draw
28.7%

Patriotas
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.6%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

28.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 27. Viafara F. 2. Polanco D. 5. Payares M. 3. Correa A. (C) 14. Acosta F. 17. Ricardo E. 22. Camacho D. 10. Rojas J. 11. Escalante L. 9. Viveros K.	32. Valencia J. (G) 20. Ruiz D. 5. Rodas M. 18. Payares L. 25. De Las Salas C. 6. Diaz J. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 15. Roa S. 23. Angulo Garces K. J. 16. Banguero F. 11. Pena G.
Substitutes
30. Agron B. 19. Castillo D. 15. Ceballos J. 20. Lloreda J. 12. Perez A. (G) 8. Salazar K. 26. Torralvo A.	4. Alarcon A. 17. Charris C. 37. Moreno S. 28. Mosquera C. 30. Rivas I. 1. Roman S. (G) 14. Zapata E.
Coaches
Garcia A.	Rivera H.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 3.

Recent matches La Equidad is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Patriotas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Patriotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Equidad is a favorite.

Last 29 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 14 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 43-27.

Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
13.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTWT
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
14.02.24	Once Caldas - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
08.02.24	Patriotas - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	América de Cali - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
30.01.24	Patriotas - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
25.01.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
05.09.22	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	2:3
31.07.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	4:3
05.03.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	1:1
06.02.22	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	0:1
16.10.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Patriotas	1:3
01.08.21	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:0
22.03.21	Patriotas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2

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