The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Equidad 26.5%
Draw 30.8%
Independiente Santa Fe 42.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
29.7%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
29.5%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
11.1%
88.9%
Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 74.4% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - La Equidad (2.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Santa Fe will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. La Equidad (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Santa Fe (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 4. Tegue G. 30. Agron B. 26. Torralvo A. 16. Mayo S. 6. Orozco S. 14. Acosta F. (C) 13. Abonia Y. 10. Cruz W. 25. Lopez S.
1. Mosquera A. (G) 17. Ararat J. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 20. Velasquez Y. 14. Torres J. 23. Mosquera H. 10. Zapata A. 8. Fernandez O. 11. Rodallega H.
Substitutes
37. Asprilla J. 28. Chaverra F. 33. Copete D. 7. Del Valle A. 24. Montano B. 12. Perez A. (G) 8. Tamara S.
80. Albornoz O. 34. Balanta M. 12. Mehring A. (G) 21. Murillo E. 9. Rodriguez A. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 16. Torres D.
Coaches
Bodmer J.
Bava J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Mayo S. 🟨,
14', Abonia Y. 🟨,
32', Tegue G. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
33', Orozco S. 🟨,
39', Moreno V. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. (Pen),
45+9', 1 - 1, Orozco S. ⚽, Abonia Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Orozco S. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Copete D. ⚽, Torralvo A. (A),
61', Zapata A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
61', Velasquez Y. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
67', Murillo E. 🟨,
68', Lopez S. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
69', Copete D. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
71', Torres J. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
71', Mosquera H. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
76', Varela C. 🟨,
85', Ararat J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
87', Abonia Y. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
90+5', Balanta M. 🟨,
90+5', Chaverra F. 🟨,
90+6', Del Valle A. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 2.
La Equidad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Santa Fe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Fe will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:21 (average 0.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).
Mexico
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Varela C. (G) 
Angel Amaya Pena M. 
Ararat J. 
Olivera E. 
Bava J. 
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