Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Deportivo La Guaira		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	8
	1.27	4.9	7
	1.22	5.2	11
	1.24	4.6	13
	1.29	5.55	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	5.05 ↑ (4.55)	9.6 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
72.4%

Draw
18.1%

Atlético Venezuela
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.5%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

10.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Guaira's performance.

Atlético Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-37.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Guaira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Venezuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo La Guaira - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo La Guaira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo La Guaira is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 12 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo La Guaira won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.12.20	Deportivo La Guaira - Mineros de Guayana	0:1 ✺
07.12.20	Deportivo La Guaira - Yaracuyanos	2:1 ✺
02.12.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTL
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.12.20	Atlético Venezuela - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Trujillanos - Atlético Venezuela	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Yaracuyanos	0:1 ✺
24.11.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Venezuela	2:2 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
10.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Deportivo La Guaira	2:3
15.08.19	Deportivo La Guaira - Atlético Venezuela	1:1
17.02.19	Atlético Venezuela - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2
16.09.18	Deportivo La Guaira - Atlético Venezuela	2:1
18.03.18	Atlético Venezuela - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1
16.08.17	Atlético Venezuela - Deportivo La Guaira	4:2
24.02.17	Deportivo La Guaira - Atlético Venezuela	2:1

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