Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)


	Deportivo Lara		Deportivo La Guaira

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.65	Watch
	2.5	2.55	3
	2.55	2.85	2.7
	2.78	2.54	2.85
	2.62	2.9	2.7
	2.7	2.92	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.08)	2.78 ↓ (2.96)	2.77 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
34.7%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo La Guaira
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

31.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Lara's form might have worsened.

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Lara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	69%	10.3%

Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 69%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 2.

Deportivo Lara is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo La Guaira is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 9 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 26-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:2 ✺
24.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	2:2 ✺
14.07.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	2:0 ✺
01.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT
- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.07.22	Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
15.07.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
08.07.22	Monagas - Deportivo La Guaira	2:2 ✺
03.07.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
16.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	2:3
28.11.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	0:0
07.11.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1
16.10.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	0:2
28.08.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	2:2
09.07.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	4:1
22.05.21	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2

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