Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 24

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Laferrere		Deportivo Español

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.25	5
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.47	5.09
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.64	3.35	5.6	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.22)	3.33 ↑ (3)	4.9 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Laferrere
53.8%

Draw
27.5%

Deportivo Español
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Laferrere's performance.

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Español might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Laferrere that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Español could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Deportivo Laferrere will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Deportivo Español will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Laferrere: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Laferrere won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo Laferrere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Laferrere will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Laferrere won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Laferrere won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera C
24.06.23	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
12.06.23	Club Luján - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Liniers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW
- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
25.06.23	Deportivo Español - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
20.06.23	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Deportivo Español - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.06.23	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Español	5:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera C
02.06.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
27.02.23	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0
30.10.22	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Laferrere	1:3
06.08.22	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Español	0:2
04.04.22	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0
27.09.21	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0
08.05.21	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Español	1:1
07.12.19	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Español	3:1

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