Match Info

Primera B - Round 12

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Real Pilar		Deportivo Laferrere

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.65	Watch
	2.11	3.06	3.5
	1.87	3.17	4.13	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.7
	2.14	3.03	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	3.01 ↓ (3.19)	3.73 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
45%

Draw
30.4%

Deportivo Laferrere
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

28%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 6. Achucarro D. 10. Blanco S. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Martinez F. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M. 8. Vergara D.	1. Libares T. (G) 8. Benitez A. 2. Cavoret I. 3. Manzi N. 10. Ortiz A. 4. Portillo B. 6. Redondo J. P. 7. Romero F. 5. Trejo E. (C) 9. Vega D. 11. Vivas N.
Substitutes
17. Avalos N. 13. Basualdo N. 14. Cardozo Lacoste F. E. 19. Cesar J. 16. Garcia P. 20. Mancini V. 18. Moran J. 15. Pansardi F. 12. Sanchez S. (G)	17. Atardo G. 12. Barraza L. (G) 14. Digangi M. 18. Digion R. 20. Gomez N. 15. Mamani L. 13. Nebot L. 19. Rodriguez E. 16. Salvadores J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Riquelme M. D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ortiz A. ↓, Digion R. ↑,
56', Benitez A. ↓, Atardo G. ↑,
56', Vega D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
59', Blanco S. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
68', Crocco M. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
68', Vergara D. ↓, Cardozo Lacoste F. E. ↑,
75', Martinez F. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
75', Riquelme M. D. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
90', Basualdo N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Real Pilar is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
10	Laferrere	38	13	12	13	46:50	-4	51

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 21.62%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
14.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Real Pilar	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.26	Banfield - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWL
- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera B
14.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Laferrere	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
28.06.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1
08.02.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Real Pilar	1:2
Argentinian Primera C
04.06.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Real Pilar	2:0
27.01.23	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1
26.06.22	Deportivo Laferrere - Real Pilar	0:2
20.02.22	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1
17.08.21	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:2

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