Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Huamachuco (Huamachuco) 🌤️ ...


	Deportivo Llacuabamba		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.1	7
	1.37	4.2	7.4
	1.35	4.04	7.03
	1.44	4.17	7.6
	1.36	4.25	7.8
	1.37	4.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.59)	4.16 ↑ (3.77)	7.37 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Llacuabamba
65.9%

Draw
21.8%

Comerciantes Belén
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Llacuabamba's performance.

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Llacuabamba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+5%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rebora E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 29. Agurto A. 10. Aponza Y. 8. Cotrina J. 14. Gallardo J. 15. Mendez P. 17. Moreno X. 9. Sanchez K. 18. Tunqui J. 5. Vega J.	25. Gentilio N. (G) 28. Chipao R. 18. Flores A. 20. Herrera Joel 23. Lemos M. 10. Lugo K. 5. Pinedo D. 12. Salas L. 7. Sanchez D. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 9. Zambrano J.
Substitutes
24. Bazan R. 11. Campos A. 13. Castellanos G. (G) 20. Curiel M. 6. Hidalgo A. 25. Lopez K. 19. Mena E. 88. Pena G. 12. Santamaria K.	22. Catashunga J. 11. Cenepo G. 24. Flores L. 31. Navarro J. 29. Perea M. 8. Quiroz A. 4. Saffadi D. 36. Silva J. (G) 17. Vela P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Chipao R. 🟨,
26', 🟨,
27', Cotrina J. 🟨,
39', Sanchez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Campos A. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
61', Pinedo D. 🟨,
70', Mendez P. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
22.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Santos	5:1 ✺
07.09.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Deportivo Municipal - Deportivo Llacuabamba	Llacuabamba awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWT?
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
27.09.24	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Comerciantes Belén - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
12.09.24	Comerciantes Belén - Pirata	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Belén	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
22.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0
31.05.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
31.10.26	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	✺
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
31.10.26	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	✺

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén