Match Info

Serie B - Round 10

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	9 de Octubre		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.4	7
	1.39	4.65	7.17
	1.4	4.61	7.33	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.34	4.55	7.47	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.64)	4.44 ↑ (3.7)	7.16 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
66.5%

Draw
20.7%

Chacaritas
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

22.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chacaritas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chacaritas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

9 de Octubre - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 9 de Octubre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Grueso M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Grueso M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 4.

In recent matches, 9 de Octubre has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chacaritas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, 9 de Octubre is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, 9 de Octubre won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Octubre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.05.25	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTLL
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.05.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	3:2 ✺
06.05.25	Leones del Norte - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Chacaritas	4:0 ✺
24.04.25	Chacaritas - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Independiente Juniors - Chacaritas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.09.24	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1
24.07.24	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	4:1
12.06.24	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:4
24.04.24	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	1:0
06.09.23	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	1:0
12.07.23	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1
24.05.23	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	3:2

9 de Octubre - Chacaritas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide