Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 33

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)


	Deportivo Madryn		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.35	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.46	5.64
	1.15	5.93	30.00	Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	10.3 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
64.9%

Draw
25.3%

Arsenal Sarandí
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Deportivo Madryn - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Madryn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Yossen T. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Gutierrez A. 3. Martinez D. 8. Montagna E. 5. Recalde F. 11. Mana N. 7. Crego D. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L.	1. Herrera F. (G) 4. Purita E. 2. Roselli N. 6. Mihovilcevich L. 3. Cocca M. 5. Colletta T. 8. Lucero M. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Batista A. 7. Gonzalez T. 9. Sabatini I.
Substitutes
20. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Jara E. 19. Juncos B. 13. Mansilla M. 17. Nicolas T. J. 14. Postel S. 15. Velurtas P.	15. Ayala A. 18. Bordagaray F. 19. Klusener G. 12. Mekbel F. (G) 13. Payes A. 17. Rius C. 20. Sayago D. 14. Serrano V. 16. Vila J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Purita E. 🟨,
29', Roselli N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Mana N. ⚽,
58', Solis N. ↓, Nicolas T. J. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Crego D. ⚽,
65', Yossen T. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Gonzalez T. ⚽,
70', Purita E. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
74', Montagna E. ↓, Postel S. ↑,
74', Yossen T. ↓, Velurtas P. ↑,
80', Colletta T. ↓, Ayala A. ↑,
80', Mihovilcevich L. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
81', Silba L. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
81', Mana N. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Deportivo Madryn is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.25	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Deportivo Madryn - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLW
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Maipú	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
08.09.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Arsenal Sarandí	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Madryn	1:1

Upcoming Matches