Match Info

Date: 12 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Deportivo Madryn		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	3	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.87
	2.8	2.6	2.8
	2.65	2.7	2.85
	2.89	2.73	3.01
	2.8	2.75	2.62
	2.71	2.81	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.91)	2.73 ↓ (2.79)	2.85 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
33.6%

Draw
33.9%

Belgrano
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

33%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

34.8%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	38.5%	46.2%

Deportivo Madryn - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Belgrano will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).

Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belgrano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belgrano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.22	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Deportivo Madryn - Güemes	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.05.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.22	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	1:1 ✺
14.05.22	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TLWTW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.22	Belgrano - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Temperley - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.05.22	Platense - Belgrano	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.22	Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWL

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