Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Belgrano		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	5
	1.95	2.85	4.4
	1.94	2.8	4.5
	1.95	2.8	4.3
	1.94	2.97	5.11
	1.95	2.8	4.4
	1.81	2.95	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.69)	2.87 ↓ (3.13)	4.71 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
48.1%

Draw
32.2%

Deportivo Morón
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

29.7%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

29.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	17.9%	7.1%

Belgrano - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional and 27).

Belgrano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Morón is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.05.22	Temperley - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.05.22	Platense - Belgrano	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.22	Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
15.05.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Belgrano - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWLW
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.05.22	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
16.05.22	Deportivo Morón - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.05.22	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.05.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.02.20	Belgrano - Deportivo Morón	1:0
06.09.19	Deportivo Morón - Belgrano	1:1

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