Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Madryn		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.75	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.1
	1.96	3	4.2	Watch
	1.94	2.97	4.71	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4.33
	1.9	2.96	4.59
	1.96	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)	2.97 ↑ (2.79)	4.41 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
47.8%

Draw
31.2%

Tristán Suárez
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

33.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristán Suárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Gutierrez A. 3. Martinez D. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. 11. Torres G. 7. Juncos B. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N.	1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Taron M. 3. Nouet F. 8. Abet A. 5. Perez T. 10. Boasso F. 7. Fernandez M. 9. Almiron E. 11. Sosa A.
Substitutes
16. Bustos A. 13. Cabrera V. 17. Cascini B. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Jara E. 19. Nouet M. 14. Pruzzo L. 20. Rivero G. 15. Velurtas P.	19. Arreguin E. 16. Berges F. 13. Felissia L. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Pantaleone N. 18. Ruiz P. 20. Sayago D. 15. Steimbach A. 17. Villegas L.
Coaches
Gracian L.	Martinez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Taron M. 🟨,
45+1', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abet A. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
59', Torres G. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
66', Almiron E. ↓, Steimbach A. ↑,
68', Guillen M. 🟨,
73', Perez B. ↓, Nouet M. ↑,
75', Boasso F. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
75', Fernandez M. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
83', Juncos B. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
83', Sosa A. ↓, Velurtas P. ↑,
85', Nouet F. ↓, Pantaleone N. ↑,
86', Sumavil N. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo Madryn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - Güemes	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Madryn - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTW
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Los Andes - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez	1:0
18.02.23	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Madryn	1:2
19.02.22	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Madryn	1:1

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