Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)


	Deportivo Maipú		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	4.75	Watch
	1.92	2.88	4.45	Watch
	1.95	3.03	4.77
	1.97	2.88	4.77	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.5
	1.89	2.89	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)	4.62 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
48%

Draw
32%

Colegiales
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

32.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Maipú's performance.

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colegiales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 2. Arnijas L. 8. Bonfigli M. 3. de la Reta J. 10. Eggel M. 4. Faggioli L. 11. Gobetto J. 5. Montero F. 9. Rivarola F. 7. Saccone F.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 6. Aguirre E. 9. Albertengo M. 8. Baglivo G. L. 7. Gonzalez L. 3. Insua E. 4. Malagueno F. 5. Marin F. 2. Ortiz L. 11. Trinidad E. 10. Zicarelli F.
Substitutes
19. Cabrera L. 20. Giacone J. 15. Mansilla G. 14. Ortale M. 13. Paulini S. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J. 17. Viguet M.	12. Alcorcel A. (G) 15. Almada T. 18. Castillo L. 17. Juarez L. 14. Montiel F. 16. Ocampo E. 19. Perri T. 13. Rivero F. 20. Toloza N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gobetto J. ⚽, Saccone F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Baglivo G. L. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
46', Trinidad E. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Eggel M. ⚽, Gobetto J. (A),
56', Rivarola F. 🟨,
63', Zicarelli F. 🟨,
64', Albertengo M. ↓, Perri T. ↑,
64', Zicarelli F. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
65', Montero F. ↓, Mansilla G. ↑,
65', Rivarola F. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
73', Bonfigli M. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Eggel M. ⚽,
79', Gobetto J. 🟨,
84', Saccone F. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
84', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
85', Castillo L. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Deportivo Maipú is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colegiales is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colegiales may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Maipú is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maipú - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Godoy Cruz	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Maipú	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Maipú	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.26	Colegiales - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.09.25	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	1:2
25.05.25	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	0:1

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