Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Maipú		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.00	4.00
	2.05	2.95	3.75
	2.16	3.05	3.50
	2.07	3.07	4.20
	2.05	3.1	3.95	Watch
	2.01	3.05	4.15
	2.00	3.08	4.10
	2.02	3.00	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)	3.04 ↑ (2.85)	3.92 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
45.7%

Draw
30.6%

Patronato Parana
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

31.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

31.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 11. Bonfigli M. 9. Cabrera L. 3. de la Reta J. 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 8. Perez E. 7. Saccone F. 10. Silva T. 5. Vera J.	1. Sosa A. (G) 10. Barinaga J. P. 4. Bravo B. 9. Diaz D. 2. Diaz G. (C) 11. Heredia F. 6. Meritello F. 7. Pereyra V. L. 3. Piccioni S. 5. Picco A. 8. Salas J.
Substitutes
16. Arno J. C. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 20. Giacone J. 17. Orosco B. 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 19. Viguet M. 18. Yavante Gaitan D.	19. Barolin J. 13. Diaz F. N. 14. Evangelista F. 16. Genez N. 15. Moreyra F. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 20. Rivero H. 18. Salega G. 17. Strey L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Paulini S. 🟨,
32', Heredia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bravo B. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
54', Cabrera L. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
59', Diaz D. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
64', Silva T. ↓, Yavante Gaitan D. ↑,
64', Vera J. ↓, Giacone J. ↑,
77', Salas J. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
77', Heredia F. ↓, Evangelista F. ↑,
80', Sosa A. 🟨,
84', Diaz G. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
89', de la Reta J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
89', Bonfigli M. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deportivo Maipú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Maipú is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maipú - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.92%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Patronato Parana - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.18%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.08.26	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Godoy Cruz - Deportivo Maipú	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Maipú - Atlanta Buenos Aires	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWLW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.26	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
26.08.26	Patronato Parana - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Colón - Patronato Parana	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Colegiales - Patronato Parana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	0:0
20.07.25	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
16.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	1:1
18.08.24	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	3:1
31.03.24	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	1:2

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