Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Maipú		Los Andes

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3	4.1
	1.92	2.92	4.45	Watch
	1.97	3.01	4.8
	1.98	2.95	4.44	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.6
	1.93	2.91	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 (1.94)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)	4.49 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
47.8%

Draw
31.5%

Los Andes
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

31.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

33.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Los Andes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Deportivo Maipú - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Los Andes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 2. Arnijas L. 3. de la Reta J. 4. Paredes L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 5. Mansilla G. 8. Bonfigli M. 10. Eggel M. (C) 11. Sambueza R. 9. Bonacci P. 7. Saccone F.	1. Lopez S. (C) 2. Leizza B. 3. Diaz E. 4. Sandoval A. 5. Canete G. 6. Riquelme R. D. 7. Gonzalez M. 8. Rodriguez F. 9. Asenjo M. 10. Gomez M. 11. Echevarria F.
Substitutes
16. Bustinduy A. 13. Faggioli L. 12. Galardi N. (G) 14. Ozuna E. 20. Paulini S. 18. Sandoval I. 17. Silva T. 15. Villarreal M. 19. Yavante Gaitan D.	14. Bellone A. O. 15. Britez M. 20. Diaz E. 17. Gerzel G. 13. Marco F. 16. Pereira G. 19. Perez T. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 18. Villarreal F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mansilla G. ↓, Villarreal M. ↑,
34', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
67', Bonfigli M. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
68', Gonzalez M. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
68', Echevarria F. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
70', Gomez M. ↓, Gerzel G. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Aguero Gimenez A. R. ⚽,
84', Sandoval A. ↓, Bellone A. O. ↑,
84', Canete G. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
90+3', Sambueza R. 🟨,
90+3', Gerzel G. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Deportivo Maipú is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Andes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Maipú is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maipú - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Deportivo Maipú - Güemes	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWTL
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.25	Los Andes - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Los Andes	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Los Andes - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Tristán Suárez - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Los Andes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.25	Los Andes - Deportivo Maipú	3:0

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