The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Flandria 40.2%
Draw 31.9%
San Martín de Burzaco 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
30.2%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
29.2%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morel C. (G) 10. Costa F. 7. De La Riva R. 8. Dulon A. 5. Gonzalez B. 6. Lopez M. 11. Lopez M. 9. Mendoza J. 2. Nalerio A. 4. Real F. 3. Spitale D.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Escudero M. 11. Gauna N. A. 3. Geneiro L. 10. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 6. Orellana D. 5. Peralta R. 7. Velazquez R. 9. Zagert E.
Substitutes
20. Calabria G. 19. Casal A. 18. Diosquez N. 15. Gonzalez A. E. 17. Jaureguiberrey M. 13. Mariatti M. 14. Negri S. 12. Szalich L. (G) 16. Vasconcelo M.
20. Chavez B. 18. Costa L. 19. Cuenca C. 15. Denis K. 17. Diaz R. 16. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 14. Rodriguez J. 13. Tobon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Morel C. (Penalty Awarded),
30', 2 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
38', Geneiro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Escudero M. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
46', Geneiro L. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
51', Nalerio A. 🟨,
55', 🟨,
55', Modon S. 🟨,
67', Lopez M. ↓, Vasconcelo M. ↑,
67', Costa F. ↓, Casal A. ↑,
68', Modon S. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
68', Zagert E. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
75', Dulon A. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
75', De La Riva R. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
76', Orellana D. ↓, Denis K. ↑,
82', Spitale D. ↓, Mariatti M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 13).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Flandria could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flandria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Flandria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
20
Flandria
38
10
9
19
34:48
-14
39
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.24%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.