Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Deportivo Morón		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.1
	1.8	3.15	5.05
	1.87	3.22	4.94
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.85	3.4	4.5
	1.87	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	4.46 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
50.8%

Draw
28.3%

Güemes
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

30.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Deportivo Morón - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Coronel M. 6. Gomez A. 3. Henry N. 8. Berterame G. 5. Ferreira P. 10. Orosco B. 11. Coronel S. 7. Garcia F. 9. Sala S. G.	1. Mendonca J. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Machuca B. 6. Escudero M. 3. Sambataro M. 8. Bellone M. 5. Garcia M. 10. Vallejos I. 11. Benega S. 7. Casa M. 9. Cano L.
Substitutes
17. Caceres P. 15. Calderon P. 14. Galli E. 20. Ledesma M. I. 12. Rojas J. (G) 18. Salega G. 13. Schonfeld M. 16. Ubeda S. 19. Ulibarri S.	15. Alvarez L. 16. Carruega S. 18. Contreras E. 14. Gamarra G. 19. Maggi I. 13. Miers M. 12. Romero J. (G) 20. Santa Cruz I. 17. Silva D.
Coaches
Nardozza F.	Perazzo W

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Güemes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Morón is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Morón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.08.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	3:2 ✺
29.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Morón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes	0:1 ✺
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Güemes	3:1 ✺
30.06.23	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.23	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0
22.05.22	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0
15.11.21	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	1:2
18.07.21	Deportivo Morón - Güemes	0:2

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