Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Alvarado		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.8	2.88
	2.7	2.75	2.75
	2.8	2.7	2.9
	2.91	2.74	2.98
	2.62	2.75	2.8
	2.79	2.91	2.81
	2.8	2.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	2.77 ↓ (2.82)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
33.5%

Draw
33.7%

Deportivo Morón
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

33.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

34.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Alvarado - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 6. Irazoque A. 8. Malagueno F. 5. Bellocq F. 11. Boasso F. 3. Ihitz N. 7. Ramirez S. 10. Fernandez J. L. (C) 9. Albertengo M.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Adin D. (C) 2. Lopez F. 6. Gomez A. 3. Henry N. 8. Berterame G. 5. Ubeda S. 11. Coronel S. 10. Orosco B. 9. Rescaldani E. 7. Garcia F.
Substitutes
18. Arias J. 13. Berra T. 14. Lacunza L. 12. Lobelos J. (G) 17. Makarte R. 15. Olivera L. 20. Rebecchi L. 19. Vadala G. 16. Vitale J.	14. Caceres P. 16. Ferreira P. 17. Kubiszyn S. 20. Leiva D. 12. Rojas J. (G) 19. Sala S. G. 13. Salega G. 18. Sosa D. 15. Ulibarri S.
Coaches
Martinez J. M.	Nardozza F.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Deportivo Morón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
02.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
17.06.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLWT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Morón	4:0 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.03.23	Deportivo Morón - Alvarado	1:1
01.08.22	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:1
22.02.20	Deportivo Morón - Alvarado	1:0
29.08.19	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	2:4

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