Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Round 18

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.3	4.09
	1.78	3.51	4.17	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.33
	1.73	3.46	4.37
	1.74	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	4.21 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
52.1%

Draw
26.4%

Ayacucho
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Municipal - Ayacucho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).

Municipal is Qualified for Liga 2 (Championship Group )

Ayacucho is Qualified for Liga 2 (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Municipal is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Municipal won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 2
09.07.24	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
04.07.24	Santos - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Deportivo Municipal - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
10.06.24	Deportivo Municipal - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTTT
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
14.07.24	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Ayacucho - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cantolao - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Ayacucho - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.24	Ayacucho - Deportivo Municipal	3:0
Peruvian Liga 1
09.07.22	Ayacucho - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
05.02.22	Deportivo Municipal - Ayacucho	3:2
06.08.21	Deportivo Municipal - Ayacucho	0:1
14.11.20	Deportivo Municipal - Ayacucho	1:1
14.09.20	Ayacucho - Deportivo Municipal	1:2
12.10.19	Ayacucho - Deportivo Municipal	2:0

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