Match Info

Liga Women - Round 6

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)


	Deportivo Pasto		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3.85	2.75	2.09
	4.12	2.64	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.13	Watch
	3.85	2.75	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.04)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
24.3%

Draw
32.3%

Independiente Medellín
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

27.9%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.6%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Idarraga V. (G) 17. Prado E. 23. Angulo E. 4. Balcazar K. 21. Martinez D. 6. Herrera M. 13. Araujo T. 10. Cano A. 7. Ruiz J. 19. Sevillano H. 9. Preciado M.	12. Candanoza V. (G) 14. Rangel N. 18. Munera M. 13. Doria Y. 15. Tangarife V. 26. Macias P. 6. Alvarez S. 8. Gonzalez A. 7. Hurtado M. 9. Rojas V. 10. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
22. Angulo D. 2. Galvis D. 12. Mendez P. (G) 8. Moreno J. 27. Olarte A. 25. Pulgarin L. 24. Valencia A.	11. Arias K. 25. Correa M. 1. Garcia L. (G) 5. Guzman M. 16. Hernandez E. 2. Iglesias A. 24. Tuberquia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sevillano H. ⚽,
35', Sevillano H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rangel N. ↓, Iglesias A. ↑,
52', Macias P. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
54', Munera M. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
71', Sevillano H. ↓, Angulo D. ↑,
72', Ruiz J. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
77', Guzman M. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
77', Alvarez S. ↓, Tuberquia D. ↑,
78', Preciado M. ↓, Pulgarin L. ↑,
87', Prado E. ↓, Olarte A. ↑,
88', Cano A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
89', Doria Y. 🟨,
90+3', Tuberquia D. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ind Medellín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ind Medellín will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Pasto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
22.03.25	Real Santander - Deportivo Pasto	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLT
- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
22.03.25	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Orsomarso - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín	1:5 ✺
23.02.25	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
29.05.24	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0
30.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	1:0

Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide