Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 4

Date: 5 February 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)

Referee: Ararat N. (Col)


	Deportivo Pasto		Jaguares de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.1	7.5	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.64	3.45	5.9
	1.66	3.59	6.46
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.66	3.55	5.51	Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.15)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	5.93 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
57.1%

Draw
27.2%

Jaguares de Córdoba
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaguares de Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	19%	0%

Deportivo Pasto - Jaguares de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Pasto will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez D. (C) 22. Alba I. 2. Carabali B. 3. Malagon J. 5. Gil N. 23. Arrieta C. 17. Chavez D. 28. Mejia V. 25. Amaya A. 31. Bernal J. 7. Londono K.	33. Figueroa J. (G) 13. Pajaro Castro C. M. 5. Gonzalez Y. 4. Anaya J. 27. Andrade D. 25. Roa J. (C) 28. Serje Orozco E. C. 23. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 32. Villalobos E. 18. Espinal F. 9. Alegria J.
Substitutes
8. Ayala C. 18. Contreras D. 34. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 27. Melendez A. 20. Nieva J. 11. Rendon K. 37. Riascos D.	12. Banguera G. (G) 24. Guerrero E. 15. Lenis K. 19. Morelo W. 26. Padilla D. 16. Pino D. 7. Rojas P.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Bodhert H.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 4.

Deportivo Pasto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Pasto is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
31.01.24	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
26.01.24	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	1:4 ✺
22.01.24	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
07.11.23	Envigado - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
26.10.23	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT
- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
02.02.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Patriotas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
08.11.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Deportivo Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
20.10.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
08.09.23	Deportivo Pasto - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0
07.05.23	Deportivo Pasto - Jaguares de Córdoba	4:0
27.03.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	0:1
05.09.22	Deportivo Pasto - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1
16.07.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	0:1
08.03.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	1:0

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