The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Pasto 34%
Draw 31.4%
Alianza Valledupar 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
29.4%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
29.6%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Alianza (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas V. (G) 3. Jimenez M. S. 4. Caicedo L. 5. Gil N. 23. Rios J. 20. Castano M. 11. Mendez J. 6. Caicedo J. 70. Espinal F. 19. Valois Y. 77. Bone F.
12. Chaverra J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 3. Moreno K. 5. Franco P. 22. Suarez K. 7. Castillo J. 24. Manjarres R. 29. Torres E. 33. Fernandez W. 8. Munoz J. 32. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
31. Cabezas G. 22. Camacho D. 9. Hurtado J. 17. Jaramillo F. 33. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 18. Ordonez F. 28. Preciado P. 21. Rivas J. 8. Valencia J.
11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 18. Garcia J. 99. Gil M. 21. Mosquera F. 10. Munoz J. 19. Perez L. 1. Wallens J. (G)
Coaches
Ayala C.
Bodhert H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Jimenez M. S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Bone F. ⚽, Castano M. (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 3 - 1, Espinal F. ⚽,
49', Caicedo J. 🟨,
52', 3 - 2, Lucumi C. ⚽,
67', Mendez J. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
71', Fernandez W. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
71', Castillo J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
73', Espinal F. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
76', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
78', Franco P. 🟨,
81', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
82', Manjarres R. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
82', Valois Y. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
82', Bone F. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
87', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
90+1', Mosquera F. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, Lucumi C. (Pen),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.
Deportivo Pasto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
Colombia
Mexico
South-america
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Cabezas V. (G) 
Caicedo L. 
Bone F. 
Gil M. 
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