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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Pasto 53.4%
Draw 28%
Alianza Valledupar 18.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.4%
28.9%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
28.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Pasto will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 27. Goyes H. 23. Goez Y. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 25. Leys F. 10. Chavez D. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 7. Perlaza J.
40. Beltran E. (G) 3. Moreno K. 22. Figueroa J. (C) 32. Viveros J. 23. Alba I. 55. Fernandez W. 7. Castillo J. 33. Lasso J. 88. Palacios L. 18. Vergara C. 8. Munoz J.
Substitutes
16. Gil M. 15. Mancilla H. 17. Mendez J. 32. Pisano M. 19. Preciado P. 36. Quinones J. 3. Rios J. 24. Santacruz K. 13. Valverde L. (G)
5. Franco P. 27. Londono Y. 17. Pardo F. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 10. Quinones D. 60. Rosales Y. 13. Simancas A. (G)
Coaches
Merino D.
Torres F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Moreno K. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Alba I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
61', Goez Y. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
69', Palacios L. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
69', Vergara C. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
70', Serje Orozco E. C. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
70', Leys F. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
76', Pardo F. 🟨,
78', Figueroa J. ↓, Franco P. ↑,
81', Lasso J. 🟨,
82', Alba I. ↓, Rosales Y. ↑,
82', Munoz J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
86', Perlaza J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
90+3', Quinones D. 🟥,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Alianza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Deportivo Pasto is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pasto has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:19 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Pasto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:7 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).
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Banguera G. (G) 
Leys F. 
Fernandez W. 
Gil M. 
Merino D. 
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