Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Recoleta		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.70	1.55
	4.75	3.90	1.53
	5.20	3.85	1.58
	5.25	4.05	1.64
	4.62	3.98	1.68	Watch
	5.15	4.00	1.60
	5.03	3.95	1.62	Watch
	4.80	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.7)	3.9 ↑ (3.7)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
18.5%

Draw
23.6%

Olimpia Asuncion
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

24.9%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsengo A. (G) 4. Pereira M. 5. Marotta N. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P. 10. Silva A. (C) 7. Dominguez R. 6. Espinola J. 19. Lopez H. 11. Parzajuk K. 33. Gonzalez A.	1. Olveira G. (G) 4. Payne T. 14. Vargas G. 15. Gamarra M. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 7. Cardozo F. 26. Sanchez R. 35. Alfonso F. 37. Benitez R. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I.
Substitutes
20. Canete M. 3. Cardozo L. 30. Charpentier P. 38. Franco A. 8. Galeano F. 21. Garay C. 15. Medina B. 25. Mosquera D. 23. Nunez J. 9. Ortiz R. 31. Schupp M. 13. Toledo O. (G)	2. Bentaberry B. 27. Caceres R. 20. Delmas E. 16. Dominguez J. 11. Ferreira S. 10. Gonzalez D. 19. Lezcano R. 23. Matus E. 18. Quintana S. 9. Sandoval H. 22. Vera J. 13. Verza Martinez L. A. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Rodriguez Armoa A. F. ⚽,
22', Ortiz R. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Alfonso F. ⚽,
34', Alfonso F. 🟨,
42', Pereira M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Benitez R. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
54', Alfonso F. ↓, Delmas E. ↑,
62', Marotta N. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
62', Parzajuk K. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
62', Rios P. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
64', Cardozo F. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
64', Payne T. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
72', Silva A. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
72', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
78', Sanchez R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
85', Dominguez R. ↓, Medina B. ↑,
86', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Ortiz R. ⚽,
90+2', Lopez H. 🟨,
90+2', Gamarra M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.

Recoleta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olimpia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	13	8	2	3	22:10	12	26
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Copa Paraguay
26.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
26.08.26	Cristóbal Colón FC - Olimpia Asuncion	3:5 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2
14.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
10.10.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0
30.07.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0
01.06.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0
29.03.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1

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