Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.75
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.16	3.04	3.94
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.1	3.22	3.7
	2.2	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)	3.04 ↑ (2.92)	3.56 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
43.2%

Draw
30.6%

Racing de Córdoba
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Deportivo Riestra - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 14 and 13).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing de Córdoba is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Riestra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Riestra will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	4:2 ✺
17.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLTL
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.05.23	Aldosivi - Racing de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Racing de Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Tristán Suárez - Racing de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
17.04.23	Racing de Córdoba - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Mitre - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT

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