Match Info

Date: 28 December 2020, Monday


	Deportivo Sanarate		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.38	2.95	2.75
	2.42	2.95	2.8
	2.61	3.01	3.05
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.42	3.2	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.4)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.81 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Sanarate
37.4%

Draw
30.1%

Malacateco
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

20.2%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deportivo Sanarate have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Sanarate than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Sanarate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malacateco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sanarate has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Malacateco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Malacateco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sanarate won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanarate won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Sanarate
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.12.20	Xelajú - Deportivo Sanarate	2:1 ✺
23.12.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Comunicaciones	0:3 ✺
09.12.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Santa Lucia	2:3 ✺
21.11.20	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Sanarate	4:1 ✺
08.11.20	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Sanarate	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.12.20	Malacateco - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
28.11.20	Maglódi - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
15.11.20	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
09.11.20	Malacateco - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.02.20	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	0:3
24.11.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco	1:0
14.09.19	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	2:0
24.03.19	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	1:1
27.01.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco	1:0
31.10.18	Malacateco - Deportivo Sanarate	3:0
29.08.18	Deportivo Sanarate - Malacateco	1:1

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