Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Malacateco		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.52	3.7	4.9
	1.48	3.9	5.6
	1.46	4.49	6.15
	1.54	3.92	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	3.96 ↑ (3.8)	5.52 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
60.6%

Draw
22.9%

Sacachispas
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

15.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malacateco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacachispas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malacateco - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Malacateco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sacachispas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Malacateco is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.11.20	Maglódi - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
15.11.20	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
09.11.20	Malacateco - Municipal	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTT
- Sacachispas FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.11.20	Sacachispas - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Santa Lucia - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
14.11.20	Sacachispas - Deportivo Iztapa	3:3 ✺
09.11.20	Comunicaciones - Sacachispas	4:0 ✺
30.10.20	Sacachispas - Municipal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

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