Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	3	2.6	2.45
	3.1	2.8	2.35
	3	2.9	2.33
	3.52	2.63	2.42
	4.2	3	1.88
	3.06	2.91	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.92)	2.81 ↓ (3.18)	2.31 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
27.7%

Draw
32.7%

Real Murcia
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

28.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

23.1%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Toledo's performance.

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+25.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Toledo - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Toledo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toledo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Murcia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Toledo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Toledo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Hércules - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Deportivo Toledo - Eldense	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	La Nucía - Deportivo Toledo	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Levante B - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTLLW
- Real Murcia
Club Friendly
29.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Real Murcia - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Real Murcia - Melilla	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
29.05.16	Real Murcia - Deportivo Toledo	1:2
22.05.16	Deportivo Toledo - Real Murcia	0:0

Upcoming Matches