Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Hércules		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.59	3.55	5
	1.58	3.56	6.67
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.57	3.74	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	5.43 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
58.1%

Draw
25.1%

Deportivo Toledo
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

19.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Hércules - Deportivo Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Hércules is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toledo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Toledo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Mancha Real - Hércules	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Hércules - Águilas	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Melilla - Hércules	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Hércules - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Hércules	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL
- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Deportivo Toledo - Eldense	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	La Nucía - Deportivo Toledo	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Levante B - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
11.06.16	Hércules - Deportivo Toledo	2:2
05.06.16	Deportivo Toledo - Hércules	0:1

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